Videos · Episode 1 · 12:46
Basic Economics, Tested: 6 Rules That Stop You Getting Fooled
Premieres Saturday 31 October 2026
Did 2,000 millionaires really flee Maryland after a tax rise? We checked the state's own numbers. Then we tested six rules of economics against real data, so you can tell a true money claim from a false one.
Six rules, each tested against the numbers, with the case where it breaks: incentives, hidden prices, prices as news, price freezes and rent control, pay and the minimum wage, and trade.
Chapters
- Did 2,000 millionaires really leave Maryland?
- Rule 1: People follow incentives, not intentions
- Rule 2: Everything you buy has two prices
- Rule 3: A price isn't just a number, it's news
- Rule 4: Freeze a price and the shortage moves
- Rule 5: Pay follows the value you add, mostly
- Rule 6: Trade makes most people richer, not everyone
- Six questions that catch a bad money claim
The six questions
- What does the setup reward?
- What am I giving up?
- What is this price telling me?
- If the price can't move, what moves instead?
- How big is the change?
- Who pays, and who gets left behind?
None of these questions picks a side for you. Sometimes the evidence goes one way, sometimes the other.
Sources
- Auto-enrolment: Madrian & Shea (2001)
- UK pensions: DWP (2026)
- Maryland millionaires: Comptroller letter (2009)
- US million-dollar returns: IRS Statistics of Income, 2007 and 2008
- California Prop 30: Rauh & Shyu (2024)
- Stock returns since 1928: Damodaran, NYU Stern (2026)
- Bread in London: Paul Seabright, The Company of Strangers
- Egg prices: BLS via FRED
- Egg supply: USDA ERS (2025) and (2026)
- Egg flock: USDA NASS (2026)
- Egg price case: US Justice Department (2026)
- San Francisco rent control: Diamond, McQuade & Qian (2019) and working paper (2018)
- Berlin rent cap: DIW (2021) and ifo (2022)
- Productivity and pay: EPI (2026) and BLS (2017)
- Pay and productivity: Stansbury & Summers (2017)
- Employers' power over pay: Card (2022)
- New Jersey: Card & Krueger (1994) and Neumark & Wascher (1995)
- $15 minimum: CBO (2019) and (2021)
- Economists on trade: Clark Center (2012)
- China shock: Acemoglu et al. (2016) and Autor, Dorn & Hanson (2016)
- Cheaper goods from China: Amiti et al. (2017)
- 2018 tariffs: Amiti, Redding & Weinstein (2019) and Fajgelbaum et al. (2020)
- Tariffs and factory jobs: Flaaen & Pierce, Federal Reserve (2019)
- Tariff costs: Tax Foundation (2026) and Yale Budget Lab (2026)
How our videos are made: researched and drafted with AI tools, checked against public sources, and reviewed and approved by a person before publishing. The narration is an AI version of the creator's voice. The miniature scenes are AI-generated.
Education only. Not financial or investment advice. We never tell you what to buy or sell.